5 April 2024

What is Predictive Validity?

What does Predictive Validity mean?

When assessing an individual’s performance or behavior, it’s crucial to use effective psychological tests. An important concept often encountered in this context is “predictive validity.” But what does it really mean and why is it so important?

There are various types of validity for psychological tests, but the most crucial for predicting job performance for a specific job role is predictive validity. It’s the most important perspective to consider when evaluating a test’s effectiveness in predicting how well an individual will perform in a particular job.

What is Predictive Validity?

Predictive validity is about how well the results of a test can predict future outcomes or behaviors within a specific domain. In other words, it’s the ability of the test to correlate with real-world outcomes over time.

Why is Predictive Validity Important?

Predictive validity plays a central role in many areas, including the hiring process. In recruitment and selection, it’s crucial to identify candidates best suited for a particular job role. Tests with high predictive validity can help employers make well-informed decisions about recruitment and staff development.

How is Predictive Validity Evaluated?

Predictive validity can be assessed by researchers following a group of individuals over time and comparing test results with actual outcomes to evaluate the test’s ability to predict future behaviors or performance.


Predictive validity is crucial to ensure the effectiveness of psychological tests. By understanding and evaluating predictive validity, we can make well-informed decisions in areas such as recruitment, education, and clinical practice. Using tests with high predictive validity can lead to better outcomes and success in various areas of life. Predictive validity is a crucial concept in the field of psychological testing, especially when it comes to assessing the effectiveness of tests in predicting future outcomes or behaviors.